Thursday 26 March 2009

AIG'S Jake DeSantis: Should We Feel Sorry For Him or What

So, what to make of AIG's soon-to-be-former EVP Jake DeSantis and his resignation letter? I bet more Americans read that letter than read the transcript from Tuesday's POTUS press conference, which may be fair enough...

Upon first review, I felt very sympathetic towards the guy because, IMO, these AIG 'bonuses' are a spectacular red herring in the first instance; they were retainment payments and in fact should have been reviewed as part of the TARP fund allocation process and assumed renegotiated.  NB: Strike 1 against the current Administration for not catching that one...

But a second gaze screams,  'Give Me A Break', and for the following reasons:
  • JD's point about not being responsible for the credit default swap transactions. Please. While the average layperson may not know the ins-and-outs of financial transaction management, some of us more knowledgeable in derivatives - who aren't too happy with recent events, mind - do.  Many credit derivative transactions are and were hedged by equity products and as the head of commodity/equity trading, JD not only knows this but it's not unreasonable to think that many of the CDS positions were being hedged by trades in his desk.  So his 'not-my-fault' stance' seems patently inappropriate.
  • JD's EVP status. The letter's tone seemed to come from someone who while not quite an ingenue, wasn't a fully seasoned racehorse either.  If JD did indeed come from humble beginnings as he states, then his rise in AIG was fairly fast-tracked if not meteoric.  Meaning that the doe-eyed indignation therein is about as transparent as being on the inside of Harry Potter's Invisibility Cloak.  If investment banking is a reasonable comparative culture (and I think we can assume it is), no one rises to that level in that time-span without swimming in-school with all the Big Fishes and having his soul bought and paid for with the bill of lading long discarded.  Jake, if you agree that you were overpaid previously, then you clearly accepted your fate or fortune - complaining now just makes you seem overwrought and underwhelming.
So a weird one all round - I can't possibly understand what JD was thinking by making this public (because AIG sure as hell didn't...).  A reader from the NYTimes - Rolf from NY - said it best to sum up:

"If your company accepts tens of billions from taxpayers, consider your bonus payments renegotiated."

Tuesday 24 March 2009

Initial reaction to Obama's Press Conference

In brief: - it's clear to me that Obama still feels the need to prove himself or validate himself as the POTUS ("As long as I'm in this office" - what is this all about???).

Generally wasn't impressed but wasn't offended. More later...

60ft Penis found on Berkshire roof. (Yeah, you heard me...)


So what's the going rate for punishment these days: beat a kid up in school, no cable privileges for a month.  Phallic graffito on the roof of your parent's £1m home? Continue travelling at your parents' expense with the threat of cleanup duty upon return. 

It's a cosmic oversight that I didn't have these parents growing up.  World domination would have been not too far behind, I reckon...

Truth to Power - 'Casino' Style

Looking at all the bonus drama around AIG and Merrill Lynch, it's so obvious that people in the Obama administration are really good at putting out words and phrases that sound elegant and polite.  Another we need to throw in there is 'criminality' - see, didn't you feel better when you just let it roll out of your mouth? (BTW, Go Andrew Cuomo - keep up the good work.)

During Obama's Leno performance, he mentioned that 'nobody was really looking at this (CDO) problem and now we've got to fix it'.  Rubbish.  Say what you want about Wall Streeters, they are by and large some of the most educated business people on the planet. Trust me, somebody was definitely looking at it - a lot of somebodies in fact.  So, Incompetence, Oopsie-daisy, or the Big Scam - are we seriously thinking there's a choice here?

And then there's the Ace Rothstein Way...


Made me think of a line in Martin Scorsese's 1995 film, 'Casino' (or, 'Goodfellas-goes-Vegas-with-Sharon-Stone's-best-role' movie) where Ace Rothstein (Robert de Niro) fires a Good Ol' Boy for letting 3 slot machines cash out on the same day:

 "Listen, if you didn't know you're bein' scammed, then you're too f*****' dumb to keep this job; if you did know, you were in on it - Either way...YOU'RRRRE OUT!'  

Ahh, that's what I'm talkin' about... time to go gangsta. 

Obama, No More Roadshows,Please?

Still reeling from last week's media offensive from Obama.   What more does this guy need in order to get that the election process is over?  Stop smoothing me, mate.  

And this AIG debacle is not inspiring any confidence - 90% tax on bonuses? Should have been sorted as part of the TARP deal. End of Story.

We get that we handed you a plate of hot mess - but hey, you went for that puppy with an enthusiasm normally displayed only by very hungry babies who can smell the teat and just can't get a grip on the nip.

No More Shows.  No More Rush. No More Distractions.  Get on with it.  

 

Friday 20 March 2009

Mitt Romney on Obama: 'King' of the Obvious

Well, leave it to Mr Romney to state the proverbial as if it were not so to everyone else.  On 'Larry King Live' last night, our man Mitt informed the world that President Obama - you know, tall, skinny, 'distinctive' ears, took office like 50 days or so ago? Yeah, him - is 'learning on the fly' in his current job.  Well, I'm glad he cleared that up: I was so pissed off when I didn't make into the University for Fledgling Presidents, or UFP. Not that I'd have the credentials, mind, but one could dream... NB For the Star Trekkers amongst you, UFP does not, repeat, does not stand for "United Federation of Planets", got it??


Not that I'm a Dem or anything, but hearing Romney speak so condescendingly about Obama's time management: "...he should be focusing on the economy and not doing magazine covers" - well, I wonder what he thought of former President Bush and key members of his Cabinet doing a spread for Vanity Fair's Annie Leibovitz 4 months after 9/11:

NB They did scrub up well back then, didn't they? And Big Kahuna Shout to VP Cheney for making the POTUS give up his Big Chair so that he could - hey, wait a minute, is this the moment when...when... Oh Graydon Carter?... Actually that's a WHOLE other blog o' hot mess...

Anyhoo, I can't help but wonder if Romney gave similar advice to Bush wrt the whole let's-find-Osama-and-punish-him palaver, or Hurricane Katrina, or the Lehman's debacle... well, I could continue but it's a blog, not a thesis...

Obama on Leno: Irresistible Charmer 2.0

Checked out Obama's appearance on the 'Tonight' show - was surprised to find myself in full charmed mode by Mr Prez - and anyone who knows me personally is reading this as the fairly heretical statement it is (NB must let them know that no one's broken into my account - yet...)

Was just me, though, or did he seem almost 'too' comfortable holding court on television with the old master Leno?  From his first acknowledgement of applause, I was struck on how poised he was with the joking schtick - even though granted, it wasn't as if it were 'Meet The Press' (RIP Tim Russert, but I digress...).

Still, fairly enjoyable viewing... my internal jury's still out on the merits of a sitting POTUS going on the talk show circuit, talking about the Tar Heels taking the NCAA Championships and the skills required of prepubescent girls in the art of Starburst distribution, but at least he had the whole leadership and common sense vibe working for him.  Not sure about that 90% tax bit on AIG bonuses, though - Leno really did well to voice a concern on the US Govt doing something like that - as they say, today's exception becomes tomorrow's precedent... but hey, it's only been 59 days... I'll give him to at least 80 before I load up on the slings and arrows.  PS POTUS - Don't let another AIG go past your desk in the meantime.  I'm just sayin'.

'Snake Eyes' for Financial Media Snake-Oilmen

You gotta hand it to Jon Stewart - one week on after his bravura dressing-down of CNBC's 'Mad Money' analyst Jim Cramer, and the Internet is still buzzing about the need for old-school investigative journalism from our financial news organisations, lest they start looking obsolete. That a stand-up comic came to the rescue of the vocational descendants of Edward R Murrow is itself an indictment on the state of American journalism, to be sure. But hey, let's not sweat the small stuff. The big stuff is that the credibility of financial news organisations is being talked about in the Great Wide Open of the Internet and beyond, as it needs to be given the severe crisis we're finding ourselves in, and our need for crystal clear information from our financial news shows.  Given the rapid advance of social media as an arena which can easily provide counterpoints to the clown shows in financial media, is it any wonder most of us are Twittering ourselves senseless to get real answers?

In (no) Financial Media Can We Trust?

As I watched Cramer give excellent squirm under Stewart's attacks ("Roll 210!"), I felt myself becoming enraged minute-to-minute, and it occurred to me only afterwards that part of my anger was in a question: does this mean that we now have to construct our own news because we can't trust journalists to do their jobs? Cramer actually spoke of CEOs lying to his face about the health of their companies, and Stewart was too right in calling him out as not having done his journalistic diligence on investigating whether the claims had merit. Surely the whole point of having financial experts coming to journalism is for the news to benefit from key expertise - so you can forgive them if they themselves aren't experienced in vetting stories as a trained reported would, but then that what junior reporter runts/researchers are there for.  

So imagine my surprise when prepping this post I saw Cramer started his academic career as a journalist!  Say what??? I was fully prepared to cut him some of the 'fin-expert' slack until that came across my desk.  I actually felt some serious dread; if someone of his calibre and expertise in both worlds - finance and journalism -  can't be trusted to produce a show with integrity and a keen eye for spotting the bugaboos which may trip up the layperson, then I don't get the point of the show's existence.  (And remember, if you're a cable subscriber, you're actually paying for this nonsense!)

So how much of this is CNBC's fault?  Can they actually be trusted to produce a financial news program that is more about news than it is about 'infotainment'?  What does it say about the state of such programs that the best explanation of the current credit crisis is not some clip from a financial news show, but a video which started making the rounds last month from some expert individual who took it upon himself to explain the thing?  As Stewart confronted Cramer with footage of him in 2006 advocating the practice of short-selling and rumour-mongering towards enhancing the position, I couldn't help thinking of CNBC's lack of investigative rigour and further wondered, is it because they can't?  Is it because they're constrained in some way?

Where's Lowell Bergman When You Need Him?

The next morning as I was surfing for feedback on Stewart's show, I kept replaying Stewart highlighting the need for a financial news organisation whose role is to provide dispassionate news in the face of lying CEOs.  Then, I remembered Michael Mann's superb account of how corporate entanglements can prevent information being given to the public in his 1999 movie, 'The Insider' (Al Pacino, Russell Crowe).  In it, we're shown the story of tobacco scientist and whistleblower, Dr Jeffery Wigand, and his coming forth on Big Tobacco's efforts to boost nicotine addiction in cigarettes while claiming that they did not believe that such addiction existed, and how CBS News' '60 Minutes' had difficulties airing his story due to pressures from CBS Corporate, as the fallout from such a segment would potentially ruin a sale of CBS to Westinghouse back in 1995.  "Is CBS Corporate telling CBS News, 'do not air this story'?" was the line from Al Pacino's Lowell Bergman that made me think, hey - can a big corporation like CNBC be trusted to even provide clean information if their corporate links to other companies prohibit such forthrightness?

That's what so great about social media - informational access without borders, confidentiality agreements, and byzantine relationships between corporate entities whose interests in the truth may vastly differ from ours.  If more and more Cramers come onto the scene, with more and more corporate news behemoths not holding their feet to the fire with respect to journalistic integrity, then I too am with Stewart when he said, "I want the Cramer of Mad Money to protect me from the Cramer of that (hedge fund) video".  So do we all, Jon, so do we all.  Could social media be the answer here?  Let's discuss!